Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEI
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
LEI
3 - 1
NTT
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 3
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 2
EVE
59%
19%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
5 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 1
WOL
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 3
EVE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
NEW
0 - 2
PNE
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
0 - 2
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |