Leicester vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 2
LEI
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
LEI
2 - 2
BPO
70%
15%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 3
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |