Leicester vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
LEI
1 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEI
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
LEI
4 - 0
LEE
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ASV
3 - 1
LEI
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
LEI
0 - 0
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
23%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
MUD
5 - 0
PAN
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 0
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
MUD
1 - 0
WOL
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |