Leicester vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEI
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
LEI
0 - 1
LEE
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
LEI
0 - 2
WBA
29%
29%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1980 |
SOU
4 - 0
LEI
83%
12%
6%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1980 |
LEI
0 - 1
BHA
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
MUD
2 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1981 |
SUN
2 - 0
MUD
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
MUD
2 - 1
BHA
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1980 |
WBA
3 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1980 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |