Leicester vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEI
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1954 |
CHA
2 - 3
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 3
LEI
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1954 |
SHE
0 - 2
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
BUR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1954 |
MAC
5 - 2
SHE
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
PNE
5 - 0
MAC
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
MAC
3 - 0
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |