Leicester vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
DER
0 - 1
LEI
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1937 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEI
68%
16%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
LEI
3 - 1
EVE
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEI
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
LEI
2 - 0
STO
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1938 |
MAC
2 - 4
WOL
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1937 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAC
55%
20%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1937 |
MAC
0 - 2
BRE
66%
18%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
2 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |