Leicester vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
DER
3 - 2
LEI
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 1
BBU
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
LEE
1 - 1
LEI
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
LEI
0 - 0
SHW
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
ARS
8 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 2
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
4 - 1
WOL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |