Leicester vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
SHW
3 - 1
LEI
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1932 |
LEI
2 - 1
WHU
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1932 |
LEI
2 - 1
OPA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 2
GRI
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 1
DER
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1932 |
DER
3 - 1
WBA
65%
17%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
DER
5 - 2
MID
58%
19%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
OPA
2 - 0
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1932 |
DER
1 - 1
BBU
61%
18%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |