Leicester vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
REA
1 - 2
LEI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 0
GIL
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
BPO
0 - 1
LEI
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
PNE
1 - 1
LEI
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 2
BPO
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
COV
3 - 0
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 2
PNE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
LEE
0 - 2
CRE
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |