Leicester vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
GRI
3 - 0
LEI
51%
22%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 1
LIV
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1931 |
HUR
2 - 1
LEI
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
LEI
4 - 0
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 2
MID
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1931 |
SHW
2 - 2
CHL
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 6
ASV
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
NEW
4 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 3
SHW
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 1
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |