Leicester vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
1 - 1
WHU
65%
18%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
SHW
4 - 0
LEI
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEI
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 2
LIV
63%
18%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
39%
25%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEE
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |