Leicester vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
POS
2 - 0
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 1
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
LEI
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
LEI
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LEI
4 - 0
CHE
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 0
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
SCU
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 3
LEY
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |