Leicester vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LEI
6 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEI
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 0
LEI
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEI
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
LEI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
3 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
BUR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |