Leicester vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
LEI
3 - 2
SHE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
LEI
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
BHA
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 1
LEI
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 0
BUR
57%
24%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BUR
3 - 0
CRE
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BUR
1 - 2
GIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WHU
1 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
BCF
2 - 3
BUR
26%
25%
48%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |