Leicester vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1954 |
BUR
3 - 1
LEI
57%
22%
22%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
0 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEI
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
NEW
2 - 1
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1954 |
BUR
3 - 1
LEI
57%
22%
22%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
BUR
0 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
BUR
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |