Leicester vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAC
63%
18%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 2
LEI
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 1
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
1 - 2
FUL
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
0 - 2
BPO
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
INT
1 - 2
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
MUD
4 - 1
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 3
TOT
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |