Leicester vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
LEI
48%
24%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1928 |
LEI
6 - 0
BBU
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 2
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEI
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
BIR
4 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1928 |
WHU
3 - 3
BIR
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1928 |
LEI
3 - 0
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |