Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRY
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 2
LEI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LEI
3 - 2
SOU
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEI
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LEI
0 - 0
COL
54%
26%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ASV
1 - 1
TOT
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CHL
1 - 1
ASV
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
SCU
1 - 2
ASV
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |