Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LEI
0 - 1
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
SUN
2 - 1
LEI
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LEI
2 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
LEI
0 - 2
LEE
30%
27%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
LEE
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
MID
2 - 1
ASV
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
3 - 2
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
IPS
0 - 0
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |