Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
LEI
4 - 2
CRY
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
LEI
2 - 2
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
CRY
3 - 3
LEI
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
LEI
1 - 0
WAT
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
ASV
5 - 0
CHE
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
CHE
0 - 1
ASV
14%
25%
61%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
ASV
1 - 0
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |