Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
MID
0 - 1
LEI
53%
26%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
LEI
1 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
TOT
1 - 1
LEI
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
LEI
0 - 1
QPR
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
LEI
1 - 1
SHE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
TOT
5 - 2
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
IPS
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 1
WOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |