Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
1 - 0
WHU
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 0
LEI
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BIR
2 - 0
LEI
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
0 - 0
CHL
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
2 - 1
EVE
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 1
SHE
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
3 - 0
BIR
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 2
ASV
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
1 - 0
TOT
29%
23%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 3
WHU
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |