Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
WOL
1 - 3
LEI
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
LEI
0 - 0
BPO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEI
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1962 |
LEI
2 - 0
WHU
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
TOT
4 - 0
LEI
81%
11%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1962 |
ASV
4 - 1
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
ASV
5 - 0
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 1
BUR
40%
23%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1962 |
ASV
6 - 2
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |