Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
BRA
1 - 2
LEI
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
LEI
1 - 2
SHE
62%
19%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
LEI
0 - 0
SWA
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEI
35%
24%
42%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1937 |
LEI
7 - 3
BUR
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
ASV
0 - 4
BCF
80%
12%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1937 |
ASV
0 - 2
NEW
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
BBU
3 - 4
ASV
43%
22%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1937 |
NEW
0 - 2
ASV
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
ASV
4 - 0
BPO
66%
16%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |