Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
LEI
2 - 3
MUD
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
DER
4 - 1
LEI
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
LEI
2 - 2
SHE
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHW
64%
19%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
WHU
5 - 1
ASV
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 3
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |