Leicester vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
47.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 3
SUN
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
SHE
2 - 1
LEI
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1909 |
LEI
2 - 5
BCF
42%
24%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
LIV
4 - 1
LEI
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1909 |
BBU
3 - 1
ASV
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 3
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |