Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
43.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
TOT
4 - 3
LEI
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
LEI
1 - 0
COV
44%
29%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1972 |
EVE
0 - 0
LEI
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1972 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEI
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1972 |
LEI
2 - 0
MUD
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1972 |
ARS
0 - 2
TOT
51%
27%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1972 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1972 |
LEE
1 - 0
ARS
74%
15%
11%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1972 |
COV
0 - 1
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1972 |
ARS
3 - 0
MUD
55%
24%
22%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |