Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1963 |
LEI
3 - 0
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
WBA
1 - 1
LEI
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1963 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEI
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
BIR
3 - 2
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
ASV
3 - 1
LEI
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1963 |
ARS
3 - 2
WBA
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
ARS
1 - 3
WOL
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
SHW
2 - 3
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1963 |
ARS
3 - 0
FUL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 3
BUR
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |