Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
0 - 1
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LEI
0 - 1
HUR
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
EVE
4 - 0
LEI
79%
12%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 1
LEI
67%
17%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1939 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LEE
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOL
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1939 |
GRI
2 - 1
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |