Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
LEI
2 - 2
GRI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
SHW
1 - 1
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
GRI
3 - 1
LEI
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
LEI
0 - 0
WBA
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
LEE
0 - 2
LEI
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
MID
0 - 1
ARS
37%
23%
41%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
ARS
1 - 0
HUR
72%
15%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
ARS
8 - 0
MID
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
WOL
1 - 1
ARS
48%
21%
32%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |