Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
DER
1 - 1
LEI
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 4
HUR
62%
19%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 2
SHW
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
WHU
1 - 4
LEI
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
LEI
1 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1931 |
BPO
1 - 5
ARS
38%
23%
39%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1931 |
GRI
3 - 1
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
ARS
3 - 2
EVE
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |