Leicester vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
LEI
0 - 2
EVE
27%
23%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
MUD
4 - 2
LEI
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
LEI
1 - 4
BRA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
BBU
3 - 0
LEI
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
LEI
5 - 2
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
BRA
4 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
64%
19%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 4
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |