Lehnerz vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lehnerz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
FUL
2 - 2
LEH
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 2
BAU
64%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SFS
1 - 2
LEH
24%
25%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LEH
2 - 1
FUL
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 4
LEH
32%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOH
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
4 - 2
VEL
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
VIK
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LOH
0 - 1
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 4
LEH
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |