Leher TS Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
16º
13º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEE
2 - 2
LEH
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
3 - 4
OBE
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 1
UNI
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 2
LEH
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
6 - 2
LEH
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
BRI
6%
11%
83%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
3 - 0
WER
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 4
BLU
31%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |