Lehe-Spaden vs Burg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
76.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lehe-Spaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
BLU
3 - 1
LEH
91%
7%
3%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEH
0 - 4
WER
4%
9%
87%
|
5 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
6 - 2
LEH
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LEH
1 - 13
SGA
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
LEH
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
OSC
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OST
3 - 2
BUR
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAB
6 - 0
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BLU
3 - 0
BUR
63%
18%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 5
WER
9%
13%
79%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -2 |