Legion Makhachkala vs Nart Cherkessk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
13º
3º
19
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 63 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 55 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 53 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 47 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 36 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 18 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
17º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
LEG
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAL
1 - 2
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
BIO
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SKC
1 - 0
LEG
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 0
FKP
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NCH
3 - 2
NAL
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 2
NCH
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 2
SKC
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKP
1 - 1
NCH
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 0
NCH
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |