Lège-Cap-Ferret vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
10º
7º
32
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GDB
3 - 1
LEG
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 3
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STA
3 - 1
LEG
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 2
SPS
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 0
LEG
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
CRF
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
GDB
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 0
FCA
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
COL
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |