Lège-Cap-Ferret vs Colomiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
12º
9
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 45 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lège-Cap-Ferret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEG
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 2
TRE
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 2
ONE
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 0
FCA
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
COL
22%
23%
54%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GDB
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
FCP
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |