Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-3
Leganés vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEG
1 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ELC
1 - 1
LEG
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LEG
3 - 1
EIB
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
0 - 1
LEG
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GET
0 - 1
LEG
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEG
1 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MER
1 - 1
VIL
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
0 - 1
LEG
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
4 - 1
CDT
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |