Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-2
Leganés vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SAL
1 - 1
LEG
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
LEG
1 - 0
LPA
20%
23%
58%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +5 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
COL
2 - 1
LEG
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
LEG
1 - 2
ARA
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
OLI
2 - 2
LEG
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
VEL
0 - 0
CEU
15%
36%
50%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
UBE
3 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATL
26%
26%
48%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ANT
1 - 0
VEL
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VEL
0 - 3
GRA
41%
27%
33%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |