Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-5
Leganés vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
LEG
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 0
OSA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
92%
7%
2%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
LEG
0 - 2
RSO
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 0
LEG
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VCF
1 - 1
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
41%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |