Leganés vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
80.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
0 - 1
RAY
36%
27%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
0 - 0
LEG
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
ATM
11%
20%
69%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 3
LEG
58%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
LEG
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 0
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
100 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 3
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VAD
0 - 3
RMA
6%
14%
80%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
5 - 1
RBS
89%
9%
3%
|
100 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
4 - 1
UDL
87%
10%
3%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | 0 |