Leganés vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
19º
19º
30
5º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 88 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 83 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 81 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 67 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 55 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 51 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 50 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 49 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 40 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 39 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 37 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 36 |
19º
|
22.5% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 28 |
20º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
VAD
0 - 0
LEG
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
UDL
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SHW
0 - 0
LEG
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
0 - 0
SEV
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 0
MLL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 1
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
MLL
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PBL
0 - 5
MLL
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |