Leganés vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
20º
20º
8
9º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 91 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 90 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 77 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 72 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 60 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 56 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 53 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 51 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 43 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 42 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 38 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
15% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 30 |
20º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
VAD
0 - 0
LEG
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
UDL
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SHW
0 - 0
LEG
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
0 - 0
SEV
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 0
MLL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 1
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
MLL
20%
25%
56%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PBL
0 - 5
MLL
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |