Leganés vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDT
3 - 0
LEG
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LEG
2 - 2
SPB
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CPC
0 - 1
LEG
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LEG
1 - 4
UBC
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 4
LEG
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CER
2 - 0
ALC
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 2
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
VEC
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CER
2 - 2
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SPB
1 - 1
CER
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |