Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-2
Leganés vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CCF
1 - 1
LEG
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
LEG
2 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
LEG
1 - 2
ATM
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CDB
1 - 0
LEG
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
RCF
0 - 1
LEG
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 1
UDL
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2001 |
COM
1 - 3
CEL
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2000 |
NUM
4 - 2
CEL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CEL
2 - 2
MLL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
CDM
0 - 1
CEL
12%
24%
64%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |