Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Leganés vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 0
LEG
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
LEG
1 - 2
ALC
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
NUM
3 - 3
LEG
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
COL
1 - 0
LEG
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CDB
59%
24%
17%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 1
AUR
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
LON
70%
20%
10%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
EIB
1 - 0
CDT
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 1
RUN
40%
31%
28%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |