Leganés vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 1
LEG
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SSR
1 - 1
LEG
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 0
NAV
75%
18%
8%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
LEG
18%
27%
56%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 0
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
SSR
18%
25%
57%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALC
21%
27%
52%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDO
17%
27%
56%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |