Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Leganés vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
AGU
2 - 0
LEG
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LEG
2 - 0
UDF
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
UDL
1 - 2
LEG
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LEG
1 - 0
VEC
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ATB
3 - 1
LEG
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
AGU
2 - 0
LEG
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
HOR
0 - 4
AGU
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AGU
0 - 0
ORI
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LOR
0 - 0
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
AGU
4 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |