Leganés B vs AD Torrejón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
4º
30
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
71.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
LEG
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 3
RVB
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CPO
3 - 3
LEG
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TRC
2 - 2
LEG
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AD Torrejón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
2 - 1
TRC
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRJ
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TRJ
3 - 2
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CVI
2 - 0
TRJ
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRJ
1 - 1
GAL
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |