Leevon PPK vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
70.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1625%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
8º
32
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
FSL
92%
6%
3%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
PRA
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | +6 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALB
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
FKB
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 11
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +4 |